Las Cruces, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

065
FXUS64 KEPZ 071730
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1130 AM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1130 AM MDT Sat Jun 6 2026

 - Drier and hotter today and into next week with many lowland
   areas exceeding 100 degrees.

 - Moisture will occasionally seep in from the east, giving the
   Sacramento Mtns a chance of thunderstorms Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1130 AM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

An UL ridge is building across NM this afternoon in between a
trough over the western quarter of the CONUS and a trough over the
Central Plains. This ridge will expand while drifting east into
the Southern Plains. Temperatures will climb as a result with most
lowland locations in the upper 90s and lower 100s.

The long wave trough to our west will nudge eastward, aligning
itself to our north by late Tuesday and early Wednesday. A weak
s/w trough will cut out ahead of it Tuesday afternoon, which will
be enough to bring low storm chances to the Sacramento Mountains.
By Wednesday, with the trough aligned to our north, breezes will
pick up for areas west of the Rio Grande. The deep westerly flow
will also push temperatures to the hottest point in the forecast
(for now). Heat Advisories are a good bet with highs pushing 105,
especially across the Texas Rio Grande Valley, including El Paso.

The subtropical ridge will re-build from the south to finish out
the period. Both the GFS and Euro agree fairly well with the
strength and placement of the high by next weekend, but differ in
how much moisture can slip in beneath the ridge. The amount of
moisture will have implications on whether our string of 100
degree days continue with further warming or if we will see some
modest relief i.e. mid to upper 90s along with a chance for
showers and thunderstorms. The NBM has spotty low POPs, and that
is what is in the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1130 AM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

VFR conditions are expected today with FEW-SCT250. Winds will
become westerly (260-290) with speeds up to 10 knots along with
occasional gusts up to 20 knots. Winds will decrease after sunset.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1130 AM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Hot and dry conditions are expected through Thursday with min RH
values near 10% each afternoon while highs climb 5 to 10 degrees
above normal. Winds will top out around 10 MPH, nearing 15 MPH for
areas west of the Rio Grande on Wednesday. No precip is expected
except for Tuesday across the Sacramento Mountains when isolated
to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. Vent
categories will generally range very good to excellent daily.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  73 102  78 104 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            64  97  67  98 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               65  98  69 101 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               70  98  72 100 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               52  76  54  78 /   0   0   0  20
Truth or Consequences    66  96  69  98 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              58  90  61  93 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   64 101  68 104 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                63  96  66  99 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       72 100  76 102 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                63 100  66 100 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             69 104  74 105 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               66  93  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   68 103  73 106 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             67  99  71 101 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           77  98  79 101 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            67  97  71 102 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    67 100  70 104 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 70 100  73 103 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                66  97  70  99 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  58  87  59  89 /   0   0   0  20
Mescalero                56  86  58  88 /   0   0   0  10
Timberon                 54  83  55  84 /   0   0   0  10
Winston                  56  87  58  90 /   0  10   0  10
Hillsboro                65  94  68  99 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                63  96  66  99 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             55  90  57  93 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   60  93  63  96 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    58  96  61  99 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               56  91  58  94 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  62  92  65  95 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   62  96  65 100 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  63  97  66 100 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           63  96  66  99 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               60  91  63  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...34-Brown