|
Las Cruces, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
|
NWS Forecast for Las Cruces Intl Airport NM
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Las Cruces Intl Airport NM
Issued by: National Weather Service El Paso, TX |
| Updated: 12:14 am MDT Jul 26, 2025 |
|
Overnight
Mostly Clear
|
Saturday
Sunny
|
Saturday
Night
Mostly Clear
|
Sunday
Sunny
|
Sunday
Night
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
|
Monday
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
|
Monday
Night
T-storms
Likely
|
Tuesday
Partly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
|
Tuesday
Night
Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
|
| Lo 71 °F |
Hi 99 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
Hi 99 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
Hi 94 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
|
Overnight
|
Mostly clear, with a low around 71. Calm wind. |
Saturday
|
Sunny, with a high near 99. Light and variable wind. |
Saturday Night
|
Mostly clear, with a low around 73. Light and variable wind. |
Sunday
|
Sunny, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. |
Sunday Night
|
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. |
Monday
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming east southeast 5 to 7 mph in the morning. |
Monday Night
|
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. East southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday
|
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. |
Tuesday Night
|
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Wednesday
|
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. |
Wednesday Night
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. |
Thursday
|
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95. |
Thursday Night
|
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. |
Friday
|
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Las Cruces Intl Airport NM.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
813
FXUS64 KEPZ 260420
AFDEPZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1020 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1018 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025
- Warm and mainly dry weather for Saturday.
- Moisture increases Sunday through Tuesday with more widespread
thunderstorm activity.
- The flash flooding threat returns Monday and Tuesday as a
monsoonal plume sets up, favoring western areas.
- Looking warmer and drier later next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1018 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025
Hot and mainly dry conditions persist for Saturday as upper-level
ridging holds in place. Far eastern areas will still have a slight
chance of storms during the afternoon with gusty outflow winds and
brief downpours possible. Otherwise, mainly clear skies prevail with
dew points mostly in the 30s. High temps will be roughly 5 degrees
above normal, reaching the upper 90s for most of the lowlands.
An inverted trough progresses through northern Mexico early next
week around the upper high over the Southeast, shifting our winds
southeasterly and increasing moisture. Sunday will see isolated to
scattered storm coverage across the area as PWs climb to around
1.25" by Sunday night (for comparison, normal is around 1.1"). Some
activity could last through Sunday night as the trough approaches
and moisture levels tick up.
Monday and Tuesday still look like the most active days of the
period with PWs peaking close to 1.5" Monday night at KELP. As has
been seen so far this monsoon season with these moisture surges, the
Euro ensemble is more bullish on PWs than the GEFS early next week
(GEFS peaks 1.3-1.4"; EPS peaks 1.5"). I tend to lean more towards
the Euro`s PWs as it has performed better and caught on earlier
compared to the GEFS. Regardless of just how much moisture we get,
western areas are more favored to see heavy rainfall Mon/Tue as the
upper high drifts further west into the Southern Plains, nudging the
moisture plume towards eastern AZ. The shortwave trough is modeled
to weaken through Monday as it reaches NW Mexico, so forcing is not
expected to be very impressive.
Depending on how far west the high goes, eastern areas could lose
out on storm chances around midweek, like what the 18z GFS is
showing. The GEFS mean has the same signal, but enough moisture to
give all areas at least a low chance of rain through midweek. The
flash flood threat diminishes after Tuesday, but lingers for areas
to the north and west. At the end of the period, both ensemble means
signal the upper high continuing to drift west over the Southern
High Plains with recycled moisture underneath it. The exact location
of the high will be crucial in determining storm coverage and flash
flood risk later next week. Temperatures stay warm for Sunday, then
cooling to slightly below normal into midweek.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1018 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025
VFR conditions prevail through the forecast period. Mainly SKC
expected over the terminals with any threat of storms remaining
well to the east Sat afternoon. Winds will be AOB 8kts mainly
from W-SW.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1200 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025
We will continue to see a trend toward drier and warmer weather
this afternoon and Saturday. Min RH`s today will range from 10 to
15 percent across much of the area. A little higher min RH`s in
the Sacramento Mountains and eastern Hudspeth county. Moisture
begins to return to the area on Sunday, so that by Monday and
continuing through the middle of next week will be at or above
25%. For today, thunderstorm chances will be limited to the higher
terrain of Otero County, and then little chance for rain on
Saturday. For Sunday, moisture and rain chances return, mainly
east of the Rio Grande and then we will see better rain chances
for Monday through Wednesday. The winds will stay well below
critical levels with the only exception being gusty outflow winds
from thunderstorms this afternoon and then for Sunday through much
of next week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 74 101 76 100 / 0 0 0 10
Sierra Blanca 67 94 67 92 / 10 10 10 20
Las Cruces 66 98 69 97 / 0 0 0 10
Alamogordo 68 96 71 95 / 0 0 0 10
Cloudcroft 52 75 53 73 / 0 10 0 30
Truth or Consequences 67 96 68 96 / 0 0 0 10
Silver City 63 90 64 92 / 0 0 0 20
Deming 66 100 68 100 / 0 0 0 10
Lordsburg 66 96 67 98 / 0 0 0 10
West El Paso Metro 74 98 76 97 / 0 0 0 10
Dell City 69 98 71 96 / 0 10 10 10
Fort Hancock 73 101 75 99 / 0 10 10 20
Loma Linda 68 93 70 91 / 0 0 0 20
Fabens 71 100 74 98 / 0 0 0 10
Santa Teresa 70 98 73 97 / 0 0 0 10
White Sands HQ 73 98 75 97 / 0 0 0 20
Jornada Range 68 96 69 96 / 0 0 0 20
Hatch 66 99 68 99 / 0 0 0 10
Columbus 71 99 72 100 / 0 0 0 0
Orogrande 68 95 70 94 / 0 0 0 20
Mayhill 57 85 58 84 / 10 10 0 30
Mescalero 57 85 58 84 / 0 10 0 30
Timberon 56 83 57 81 / 0 10 0 30
Winston 56 88 57 89 / 0 0 0 10
Hillsboro 63 95 65 95 / 0 0 0 10
Spaceport 63 96 66 96 / 0 0 0 10
Lake Roberts 56 90 57 92 / 0 0 0 20
Hurley 63 93 63 95 / 0 0 0 10
Cliff 63 96 65 99 / 0 0 0 10
Mule Creek 61 92 62 95 / 0 0 0 10
Faywood 64 93 65 93 / 0 0 0 20
Animas 66 96 68 98 / 0 0 0 10
Hachita 65 96 65 97 / 0 0 0 10
Antelope Wells 66 96 68 97 / 0 0 0 10
Cloverdale 64 91 66 93 / 0 0 0 10
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
$$
FORECASTER...39-Aronson
View a Different U.S. Forecast Discussion Location
(In alphabetical order by state)
|
|
|
|
