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Las Cruces, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Las Cruces Intl Airport NM
National Weather Service Forecast for: Las Cruces Intl Airport NM
Issued by: National Weather Service El Paso, TX
Updated: 12:14 am MDT Jul 26, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 71. Calm wind.
Mostly Clear

Saturday

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 99. Light and variable wind.
Sunny

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 73. Light and variable wind.
Mostly Clear

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Sunny

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind around 6 mph becoming calm  after midnight.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming east southeast 5 to 7 mph in the morning.
Mostly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. East southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
T-storms
Likely

Tuesday

Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Partly Sunny
then Chance
T-storms
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
Lo 71 °F Hi 99 °F Lo 73 °F Hi 99 °F Lo 73 °F Hi 94 °F Lo 70 °F Hi 91 °F Lo 70 °F

 

Overnight
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 71. Calm wind.
Saturday
 
Sunny, with a high near 99. Light and variable wind.
Saturday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 73. Light and variable wind.
Sunday
 
Sunny, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Monday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming east southeast 5 to 7 mph in the morning.
Monday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. East southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93.
Wednesday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.
Thursday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95.
Thursday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71.
Friday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 96.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Las Cruces Intl Airport NM.

Weather Forecast Discussion
813
FXUS64 KEPZ 260420
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1020 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1018 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025

 - Warm and mainly dry weather for Saturday.

 - Moisture increases Sunday through Tuesday with more widespread
   thunderstorm activity.

 - The flash flooding threat returns Monday and Tuesday as a
   monsoonal plume sets up, favoring western areas.

-  Looking warmer and drier later next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1018 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025

Hot and mainly dry conditions persist for Saturday as upper-level
ridging holds in place. Far eastern areas will still have a slight
chance of storms during the afternoon with gusty outflow winds and
brief downpours possible. Otherwise, mainly clear skies prevail with
dew points mostly in the 30s. High temps will be roughly 5 degrees
above normal, reaching the upper 90s for most of the lowlands.

An inverted trough progresses through northern Mexico early next
week around the upper high over the Southeast, shifting our winds
southeasterly and increasing moisture. Sunday will see isolated to
scattered storm coverage across the area as PWs climb to around
1.25" by Sunday night (for comparison, normal is around 1.1"). Some
activity could last through Sunday night as the trough approaches
and moisture levels tick up.

Monday and Tuesday still look like the most active days of the
period with PWs peaking close to 1.5" Monday night at KELP. As has
been seen so far this monsoon season with these moisture surges, the
Euro ensemble is more bullish on PWs than the GEFS early next week
(GEFS peaks 1.3-1.4"; EPS peaks 1.5"). I tend to lean more towards
the Euro`s PWs as it has performed better and caught on earlier
compared to the GEFS. Regardless of just how much moisture we get,
western areas are more favored to see heavy rainfall Mon/Tue as the
upper high drifts further west into the Southern Plains, nudging the
moisture plume towards eastern AZ. The shortwave trough is modeled
to weaken through Monday as it reaches NW Mexico, so forcing is not
expected to be very impressive.

Depending on how far west the high goes, eastern areas could lose
out on storm chances around midweek, like what the 18z GFS is
showing. The GEFS mean has the same signal, but enough moisture to
give all areas at least a low chance of rain through midweek. The
flash flood threat diminishes after Tuesday, but lingers for areas
to the north and west. At the end of the period, both ensemble means
signal the upper high continuing to drift west over the Southern
High Plains with recycled moisture underneath it. The exact location
of the high will be crucial in determining storm coverage and flash
flood risk later next week. Temperatures stay warm for Sunday, then
cooling to slightly below normal into midweek.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1018 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025

VFR conditions prevail through the forecast period. Mainly SKC
expected over the terminals with any threat of storms remaining
well to the east Sat afternoon. Winds will be AOB 8kts mainly
from W-SW.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1200 PM MDT Fri Jul 25 2025

We will continue to see a trend toward drier and warmer weather
this afternoon and Saturday. Min RH`s today will range from 10 to
15 percent across much of the area. A little higher min RH`s in
the Sacramento Mountains and eastern Hudspeth county. Moisture
begins to return to the area on Sunday, so that by Monday and
continuing through the middle of next week will be at or above
25%. For today, thunderstorm chances will be limited to the higher
terrain of Otero County, and then little chance for rain on
Saturday. For Sunday, moisture and rain chances return, mainly
east of the Rio Grande and then we will see better rain chances
for Monday through Wednesday. The winds will stay well below
critical levels with the only exception being gusty outflow winds
from thunderstorms this afternoon and then for Sunday through much
of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  74 101  76 100 /   0   0   0  10
Sierra Blanca            67  94  67  92 /  10  10  10  20
Las Cruces               66  98  69  97 /   0   0   0  10
Alamogordo               68  96  71  95 /   0   0   0  10
Cloudcroft               52  75  53  73 /   0  10   0  30
Truth or Consequences    67  96  68  96 /   0   0   0  10
Silver City              63  90  64  92 /   0   0   0  20
Deming                   66 100  68 100 /   0   0   0  10
Lordsburg                66  96  67  98 /   0   0   0  10
West El Paso Metro       74  98  76  97 /   0   0   0  10
Dell City                69  98  71  96 /   0  10  10  10
Fort Hancock             73 101  75  99 /   0  10  10  20
Loma Linda               68  93  70  91 /   0   0   0  20
Fabens                   71 100  74  98 /   0   0   0  10
Santa Teresa             70  98  73  97 /   0   0   0  10
White Sands HQ           73  98  75  97 /   0   0   0  20
Jornada Range            68  96  69  96 /   0   0   0  20
Hatch                    66  99  68  99 /   0   0   0  10
Columbus                 71  99  72 100 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                68  95  70  94 /   0   0   0  20
Mayhill                  57  85  58  84 /  10  10   0  30
Mescalero                57  85  58  84 /   0  10   0  30
Timberon                 56  83  57  81 /   0  10   0  30
Winston                  56  88  57  89 /   0   0   0  10
Hillsboro                63  95  65  95 /   0   0   0  10
Spaceport                63  96  66  96 /   0   0   0  10
Lake Roberts             56  90  57  92 /   0   0   0  20
Hurley                   63  93  63  95 /   0   0   0  10
Cliff                    63  96  65  99 /   0   0   0  10
Mule Creek               61  92  62  95 /   0   0   0  10
Faywood                  64  93  65  93 /   0   0   0  20
Animas                   66  96  68  98 /   0   0   0  10
Hachita                  65  96  65  97 /   0   0   0  10
Antelope Wells           66  96  68  97 /   0   0   0  10
Cloverdale               64  91  66  93 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...39-Aronson
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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